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![]() The Economy (Page 14)
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| Author | Topic: The Economy |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
The nation's jobless rate dipped to 4% last month, but the Labor Department said today that only 11,000 workers were added to private and government payrolls, a number that analysts said was well below what was expected and consistent with a slower pace to U.S. economic growth. (source: Washington Post) http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A64237-2000Jul7.html |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
Orders placed with U.S. manufacturers posted their biggest jump in more than seven years in May as orders for electronics, chemicals and other durable goods surged, government figures released Thursday showed. (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.cnn.com/2000/07/06/economy/economy/ In brief: |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
Crude oil prices continued to sag Wednesday after OPEC President Ali Rodriguez insisted the cartel will raise production only after full consultations and the agreement of all members. (source: CNNfn) http:// http://cnnfn.com/2000/07/05/markets/oil_prices/ The Conference Board said its Index of Leading Economic Indicators, which forecasts future economic trends, fell 0.1% in May after remaining unchanged in April and inching up 0.1% in March. (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.com/2000/07/05/economy/wires/indicators_wg/ |
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greenjeans |
I saw an interesting article the other day about how Fed-watching doesn't take any breaks these days--right after the meeting people start trying to figure out what happens next--I guess I am included. The search for the ever-elusive soft landing continues, but I feel like the fed is probably done for the year...but that this will not really lift the equity markets. The rallies of the past couple years have been driven by huge amounts of consumer spending...now, with the economy noticably slowing, unemployment likely to increase, stock wealth diminished, and, at the very least, investors being less confident, I can't imagine a spending spree in the near future. So, the coming earnings season might be ok, even as we hear all of these warnings, but the next quarter might be a real struggle. |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
U.S. manufacturing slowed for a fourth straight month in June and prices paid for materials declined, a report showed Monday, suggesting the industrial sector is feeling the effects of higher interest rates. (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.com/2000/07/03/economy/economy/ |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
Americans' incomes in May rose twice as fast as their spending, pulling the nation's personal savings rate up to its highest point since the beginning of the year. (source: Washington Post) http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A25302-2000Jun30.html By doing nothing, the Federal Reserve may have done more to keep a lid on the stock market this summer than it possibly could have accomplished by raising interest rates yet again. (source: MSNBC) http://msnbc.com/news/399099.asp |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
The chairman of the Federal Trade Commission yesterday laid out his agency's plans to investigate alleged collusion by oil companies, which he described as a possible source of this month's record-high gasoline prices in parts of the Midwest. (source: Washington Post) http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A14120-2000Jun28.html In brief: - The U.S. economy grew at a bit faster pace than previously estimated in the first quarter of the year, as consumer spending posted its strongest gain in almost 17 years and prices for goods and services crept higher |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
Federal Reserve policy makers opted to hold the line on interest rates Wednesday, yet issued a warning to both Wall Street and Main Street that it remains on high alert for signs of accelerating inflation -- something that could lead them to raise rates again down the road. (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.com/2000/06/28/economy/fed/
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KeithG |
SO today, everyone expects the Fed to stand pat, including me, which I was not ready to say right after the last meeting. However, I think the durable goods data from today might be more important than people think--it will get passed over and have no impact on what happens this afternoon, but in August there is a strong incentive for the Fed to hike one more time. Unless the data comes in over the July that supports a real slowdown, the Fed has to assume this is a typical, cyclical, 2nd-quarter slowdown. They will not want to make a move in the midst of the election campaign and therefore have to get their licks in prior. If there is a rebound in the some of the other numbers to go along with the durable goods numbers, don't think we won't see another hike before Labor Day. |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
In brief: - The Fed finishes its June meeting tomorrow and is widely expected to keep rates at their current levels. - U.S. consumer confidence declined in June after matching the all-time record the month before, as higher interest rates and a more questionable outlook on the employment front prompted Americans to downgrade their view of the economy. |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
In brief: - Sales of existing homes rose at a faster-than-expected pace in May as more buyers completed purchases agreed to earlier in the spring, a real estate group said Monday. At the same time, rising mortgage rates are expected to slow activity in the second half of the year. |
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InvestorGuide Weekly Administrator |
Matthew Rabin recently won a MacArthur genius grant for his research on how procrastination and other self-control issues affect economic decisions. Read it now... if you wait, it could cost you money. (source: SF Gate) http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2000/06/16/BU65511.DTL |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
Federal Reserve officials are widely expected to leave short-term interest rates unchanged when they meet Tuesday and Wednesday, but they are also likely to say they are still more concerned about rising inflation than they are about signs the economy is slowing. (source: Washington Post) http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A44087-2000Jun22.html |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
OPEC has concluded its meeting and agreed to raise oil production by more than 700,000 barrels a day, according to sources close to the talks. The move raises OPEC's overall production to 25.4 million barrels a day (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.com/2000/06/21/worldbiz/opec_talks/ |
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InvestorGuide Daily Administrator |
In brief: - The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in April from a record level as demand for imported goods faltered for the first time in a year-and-a-half and prices for imported oil staged a temporary retreat, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Exports remained near record highs
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