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  The Economy (Page 15)

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Author Topic:   The Economy
InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-20-2000 04:47 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
OPEC oil ministers were gathering on Tuesday under pressure to raise exports for the second time this year to ease lofty crude prices. (source: MSNBC) http://msnbc.com/news/422676.asp

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-16-2000 06:16 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
If the economy goes from slow growth to no growth, Jim Jubak argues technology stocks will have a hard time keeping up the earnings pace investors expect in the third and fourth quarters. (source: MoneyCentral) http://moneycentral.msn.com/articles/invest/jubak/5474.asp

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-16-2000 06:14 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
U.S. builders began construction on new homes at the slowest rate in almost a year in May, while the number of new permits issued to builders fell to its lowest in more than 2-1/2 years -- more signs that the red-hot housing market is feeling the effects of higher interest rates. (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.com/2000/06/16/economy/housing

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-15-2000 06:14 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
U.S. industrial production rose more than expected in May, the Federal Reserve said, reflecting robust consumer demand for American-made goods -- even as interest rates continued to rise. (source: CNNfn) http://cnnfn.com/2000/06/15/economy/economy/

In brief:

- The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 296,000 for the week ended June 10 from a revised 312,000 in the prior week, the U.S. Department of Labor said.

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-14-2000 06:07 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
Consumer prices edged up 0.1% in May, the government said Wednesday, a shade below Wall Street forecasts for a 0.2% increase and April’s flat reading. (source: CNNfn)
http://cnnfn.com/2000/06/14/economy/economy/

KeithG
posted 06-14-2000 01:09 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for KeithG      Reply w/Quote
A lot of people seem really surprised that the core CPI could possibly have risen more than the overall CPI--which includes Food and Energy Prices. Well, there was a little dip during May in gas prices, which we have since blown past. Something the Fed will have to keep in mind...it is likely that the next CPI reading will have a big jump in the overall rate because oil is over 32 dollars a barrell right now. I read today that the last time oil was this expensive it was at the start of an recession. Not that I support that thought, I am just reporting.
KG

MaxPower
posted 06-14-2000 09:00 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for MaxPower      Reply w/Quote
I just noticed that yesterday was the five-year anniversary of the President's ten-year plan to to balance the Federal budget. At the time, he promised to cut spending by $1.1 trillion.

Now that we are halfway through the ten years, anyone know the current status or how it is doing?

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-13-2000 06:20 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
American shoppers curbed their spending in May, sending retail sales nationwide down by a bigger-than-expected 0.3% marking the second month in a row in which retail sales have fallen. (source: Washington Post) http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A48286-2000Jun13.html

There is growing evidence that U.S. productivity is expanding, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said in a speech that gave no clues about the future course of U.S. interest rates. (source: MSNBC) http://msnbc.com/news/420088.asp

hecubus
posted 06-13-2000 05:26 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for hecubus      Reply w/Quote
The CPI numbers tomorrow will be big. People seemeed to take heart in Greenspan's speech today--he said productivity would continue to grow because of technology and, importantly, didn't say anything about raising rates. WEll, not that Greenie has been known to tip his hat...I really don't think that his silence means anything at all. As for productivity continuing to grow...lets hope so That is the only thing that will keep this economic expansion going.

KeithG
posted 06-13-2000 10:36 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for KeithG      Reply w/Quote

I think this is how some investors are probably feeling. I think the Fed has everyone scared and there is enough news out there to make people very concerned about a crash landing for the economy. I mean, retail numbers are much lower than expected, something which you would expect to boost the markets. BUT, investors are now hearing all these earnings warnings and beginning to take them to heart. And, on top of that, the Fed still might act in two weeks, raising another 25 points. So, not only is the earnings picture darkening, the Fed is still looming.

My hope is that the fact that the numbers are not leading to an equity surge will convince the Fed to rest for a month and see what the numbers say come August.

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-12-2000 06:10 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
The longest U.S. economic expansion, now in its 10th year, has peaked as business and consumers begin to feel the effects of a battery of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, a research group found. (source: Wired) http://wired.com/news/business/0,1367,36929,00.html

Joe Battapaglia argues that there remains no credible evidence an inflation problem exists and recent data on price levels continues to support this. (source: MarketWatch) http://www.marketwatch.com/news/current/battipaglia.htx

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-09-2000 05:56 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
Amid signs that the economy is slowing, fresh numbers from the government showing tame inflation offer fresh hopes that the Federal Reserve may be ready to stop raising interest rates. But with central bankers vigilant about stopping inflation before it starts, some economists caution that the Fed may keep its foot on the economy’s brake for a while longer. (source: MSNBC) http://msnbc.com/news/418442.asp

Analysis
The economy is slowing, and it looks like the market may have finally bottomed. Good news? Not for stockholders of companies pinched by fixed costs and higher interest rates while sales slow and growth stalls. (source: MoneyCentral) http://moneycentral.msn.com/articles/invest/jubak/5472.asp

KeithG
posted 06-09-2000 02:07 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for KeithG      Reply w/Quote
The PPI numbers seemed pretty tame, but the fact that energy prices actually held back the overall number is a concern for me . The Core rate, which discounts energy and food prices, was up .2% which is higher than the .1% I saw forecasted. Now, when the numbers come out for June, when gas prices rose as opposed to fell (hard to believe, but crude oil was down for a while in May)the ppi number could be quite large. I think the market has been correcting itself all day long now. Interestingly, the futures markets were way up just prior to the announcement this morning and then fell back down a bit.

InvestorGuide Daily
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posted 06-08-2000 06:02 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
In brief:

- The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose to 309,000 in the week ended June 3 from a revised 289,000 the prior week. The claims were the highest since the 310,000 reported for the Jan. 8 week.

- The European Central Bank raised its key interest rates today by a larger-than-expected half percentage point, its fourth interest rate hike this year.

InvestorGuide Daily
Administrator
posted 06-06-2000 06:09 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for InvestorGuide Daily      Reply w/Quote
Americans' productivity, a key to future prosperity, slowed to an annual growth rate of 2.4%in the first three months of this year, the government reported today. (source: Washington Post) http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A6087-2000Jun6.html

According to MarketWatch's Paul Erdman, a series of factors will allow America's unprecedented economic expansion to continue into the future. (source: MarketWatch) http://www.marketwatch.com/news/current/erdman.htx

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