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Author Topic:   Today's Market
Scott McCormick
posted 10-06-1999 04:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Scott McCormick      Reply w/Quote
What a great day to be an internet investor. Nasdaq up 2%, HHH up almost 5%. Oh yeah!!!

gatsby
posted 10-06-1999 09:39 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for gatsby      Reply w/Quote
Here's another one, this time some basics about the Fed and their monetary policy. Though always a confusing subject, it's one of the best beginner articles I've read on how the Fed can or cannot affect the economy, and I thought it might be worthwhile to put here after yesterday. http://www.fool.com/features/federalrerserve/whatisfed.htm

gatsby
posted 10-05-1999 01:24 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for gatsby      Reply w/Quote
For you REIT followers, here's an article I found:
"Are they primed for a comeback?" http://www.kiplinger.com/magazine/index.html?archives/1999/October/reits.htm

newinvestor
posted 10-04-1999 07:57 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for newinvestor      Reply w/Quote
I just read an interesting fact in a CBS Marketwatch artcile.

"From 1980 through 1989, for example, there were 2,528 trading days. If you would have stayed fully invested in an index of the Standard and Poor's 500 stocks, your average annual return would have been a breathtaking 17.5 percent. But had you pulled out and missed only the 10 best trading days out of those 2,528 days, your average annual return would have dropped to 12.6 percent. Had you missed the 40 best trading days, it would have fallen to 3.9 percent."

If you have the luxury of investing for the long term and won't need to pull your money out in the next few years its simple, Buy and hold! That is, of course, as long as you can sleep at night.

charlie1
posted 10-01-1999 01:44 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for charlie1      Reply w/Quote
Thanks for the site about reits.
I understand them a lot better now. They seem like a good investment, especially if you are looking to diversify your portfolio. When I said hot, I didn't mean hot like tech stocks, but hot as in they are a valuable investment at their current price. Of course often the valuable investments become the hot investments as word gets around. That only helps if you've already gotten in on the investment.

banka
posted 10-01-1999 12:52 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for banka      Reply w/Quote
You're right. I'm not planning to trade in and out of them, but might buy a fairly sizable position (in my IRA, to avoid paying taxes on the dividend stream) and hold it until there is a 20-25% correction in the Nasdaq, or until I decide (realize?) that tech stocks aren't really overpriced.

ahead
posted 10-01-1999 04:53 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for ahead      Reply w/Quote
banka
That makes sense if your time frame
is long enough to recoupe any commissions and slippage you'll incur when you trade in and out of them.That 10% is only $83 a month
on a 10,000 investment or 0.15 cents/shr.
If you are waiting to reinnvest keep it in a money market fund if your time frame is too short.

banka
posted 09-30-1999 01:14 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for banka      Reply w/Quote
charlie1, here's a good site for information about REITs: http://www.nareit.com

I don't think REITs are hot right now. In fact, they're getting my attention specifically because they're not hot. They haven't participated in the market's upsurge, which is what leads me to believe there might be some bargains in the sector.

banka
posted 09-30-1999 12:46 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for banka      Reply w/Quote
ahead,

> I think there is limited upside in REIT's. Do you think of them as growth stocks?

No, I was thinking of using them to diversify. My portfolio is almost 100% technology stocks, and I think they've gotten ahead of themselves, so I'm considering moving 10-20% of my $ into REITs, just to make the 10% yield plus hopefully some stock price appreciation... and then if the tech sector tanks I'll dump the REITs and move the cash back to techs.

charlie1
posted 09-29-1999 02:12 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for charlie1      Reply w/Quote
I read a very interesting statistic on the market from Thom Calandra's stockwatch.
"Since the beginning of this year, the plurality of daily declines ($DECL: news, msgs) over advances ($ADV: news, msgs) on the NYSE has widened to 22,000. This is the widest gap ever—wider than at this time in 1987, when the market was sliding toward its Oct. 19 crash.
If the Dow 30 had followed the track of the broad market since the start of 1999, it would be trading below 5,000."
This just backs up the theory that the only thing that has kept the market afloat has been tech and some blue-chip stocks. While most other stocks are going down most days these stocks keep the indexes afloat. Its basically like the sector rotation idea ahead is talking about.
Also, I'm afraid I don't really understand REITs. I know it stands for Real Estate Investment Trusts and I believe they invest in real estate and its development. Can anyone tell me more about them, where to get info, and why you guys think they are hot right now?
thanks
charlie

ahead
posted 09-28-1999 03:37 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ahead      Reply w/Quote
Yes I've noticed that some sectors tank and others are flying to the moon.
Sector rotation is what they were calling the markets actions for the past few years.
I guess buying high quality stocks that have been oversold is one strategy that might still make sense in this market.

REIT's seem to move like the bond market
because they have become Income Investors
proxy for utilities since they have been deregulated.I think there is limited upside in REIT's? do you think of them as growth stocks?

banka
posted 09-28-1999 08:50 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for banka      Reply w/Quote
I agree. Most of my portfolio is in tech stocks, but they've had such a run-up that I'm starting to think it's time to look elsewhere for bargains. The ones that ahead mentioned (especially Coke and Gillette) might be worth investigating... I've always thought these two were great companies but a little expensive, but maybe now's the time to give them another look. I'm also starting to pay attention to REITs - they seem like such a bargain now.

Half Full
posted 09-27-1999 11:13 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Half Full      Reply w/Quote
It is a market with two faces: The paranoids (finally, it's just tulips) and the manics (I just can't get enough) They both are mental conditions. Solid value stocks won't do you much damage and eventually will do just fine. The ether (net) stocks will simply evaporate. Whether you take it between the eyes depends how much of each you are and have.

ahead
posted 09-27-1999 06:44 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ahead      Reply w/Quote
There are lots of stocks in there own Bear Markets Sears,Allstate,Coke,Gillette,Mattel.
I think that he is saying there are stocks
worth buying like these which are down already.

happyguy
posted 09-24-1999 04:54 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for happyguy      Reply w/Quote
dude,
The nasdaq was back almost even by the end of trading today. Lots of prognosticators believe it still has a long way to fall, but this guy sure doesn't.
Roy Howard of Circle T Partners said: "If you can get past the valuation hump it's a good time to buy. We're entering a seasonally strong quarter and an earthquake in Taiwan doesn't affect their business. It just makes Taiwan a more frequently searched word on Yahoo."

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